Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

Polymarket traders put "Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?" at 3.5%. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
–4%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $49KLiquidity $19KComments 8in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
3.55%
–

Probability over time

Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.