Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?
Most likely right now
December 31, 2026
▲1.028%
PoliticsVol $3.0KTotal volume $3.6MLiquidity $64KComments 373in 4 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31, 2026
27.5%
▲1.0
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
