Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?
Polymarket traders put "Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?" at 11.0%. Down 1.5%p from yesterday. $3.4K traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
December 31, 2026
▼1.511%
PoliticsVol $3.4KTotal volume $3.8MLiquidity $34KComments 370in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31, 2026
11.0%
▼1.5
Probability over time
December 31, 2026
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
