Will Iran target an Arab country by...?

Polymarket traders put "October 31" at 85.0% on "Will Iran target an Arab country by...?". $83 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 31.

Most likely right now
October 31
85%
PoliticsVol $83Total volume $83Liquidity $687in 2 months (Oct 31)
Current probability

Sep 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
October 31
85.0%
September 30
69.0%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.