Will Iran target an Arab country by...?

Polymarket traders put "November 30" at 75.5% on "Will Iran target an Arab country by...?". $43 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 1.

Most likely right now
November 30
–76%
PoliticsVol $43Total volume $43Liquidity $6.5Kin 27 days (Dec 1)
Current probability

Nov 4 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
November 30
75.5%
–
November 15
58.0%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.