Will Iran target an Arab country by...?

Polymarket traders put "November 30" at 67.5% on "Will Iran target an Arab country by...?". $4.0K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 1.

Most likely right now
November 30
–68%
PoliticsVol $4.0KTotal volume $4.0KLiquidity $3.5Kin 19 days (Dec 1)
Current probability

Nov 12 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
November 30
67.5%
–
November 15
21.0%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.