Will Iran target an Arab country by...?

Polymarket traders put "September 30" at 92.5% on "Will Iran target an Arab country by...?". $2.0K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 30.

Most likely right now
September 30
93%
PoliticsVol $2.0KTotal volume $2.0KLiquidity $9.2Kin 27 days (Sep 30)
Current probability

Sep 4 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
September 30
92.5%
September 15
75.0%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.