Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?

Polymarket traders put "November 30" at 23.0% on "Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?". Up 4.0%p from yesterday. $1.5K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 30.

Most likely right now
November 30
▲4.023%
PoliticsVol $1.5KTotal volume $96KLiquidity $24Kin 2 months (Nov 30)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
November 30
23.0%
▲4.0
October 31
11.5%
▲1.1

Probability over time

November 30
October 31
02550751009/179/209/2310/310/610/9
2026-09-17 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.