Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?

Most likely right now
September 30
18.551%
PoliticsVol $6.9KTotal volume $40KLiquidity $42Kin 1 months (Sep 30)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
September 30
50.5%
18.5
September 15
16.0%
6.0
August 31
6.85%
2.2

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.