Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

Polymarket traders put "Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?" at 10.9%. $91 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
–11%
PoliticsVol $91Total volume $602KLiquidity $31Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
10.9%
–

Probability over time

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.