Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

Most likely right now
December 31
0.512%
PoliticsVol $115Total volume $752KLiquidity $14KComments 29Closed (Dec 31)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
11.5%
0.5

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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