Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?
Most likely right now
December 31
▼0.512%
PoliticsVol $115Total volume $752KLiquidity $14KComments 29Closed (Dec 31)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31
11.5%
▼0.5
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
