Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?
Polymarket traders put "Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?" at 13.5%. Up 0.5%p from yesterday. $194 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
December 31
▲0.514%
PoliticsVol $194Total volume $774KLiquidity $13KComments 21in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31
13.5%
▲0.5
Probability over time
December 31
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
