Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by...?

Polymarket traders put "March 31" at 9.5% on "Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by...?". Up 4.0%p from yesterday. $1.8K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Apr 1.

Most likely right now
March 31
▲4.010%
PoliticsVol $1.8KTotal volume $43KLiquidity $38KComments 10in 6 months (Apr 1)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
March 31
9.50%
▲4.0
December 31
5.10%
–

Probability over time

March 31
December 31
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.