Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by...?

Polymarket traders put "March 31" at 9.5% on "Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by...?". There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Apr 1.

Most likely right now
March 31
10%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $15KLiquidity $27Kin 7 months (Apr 1)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
March 31
9.50%
December 31
3.65%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.