Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?

Polymarket traders put "Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?" at 4.8%. Down 2.8%p from yesterday. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?
▼2.85%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $195Liquidity $10Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?
4.80%
▼2.8

Probability over time

Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?
02550751008/259/99/169/239/3010/710/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.