Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

Most likely right now
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
18%
PoliticsVol $148Total volume $1.3MLiquidity $47KComments 98in 4 months (Jan 3)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
17.5%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.