Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

Polymarket traders put "Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?" at 6.5%. $22 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 4.

Most likely right now
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
–7%
PoliticsVol $22Total volume $1.8MLiquidity $45KComments 106in 3 months (Jan 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
6.50%
–

Probability over time

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.