Will Rebels capture Gao by December 31?

Polymarket traders put "Will Rebels capture Gao by December 31?" at 18.5%. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
Will Rebels capture Gao by December 31?
–19%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $13KLiquidity $11Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Will Rebels capture Gao by December 31?
18.5%
–

Probability over time

Will Rebels capture Gao by December 31?
02550751008/259/79/149/219/2810/510/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.