Will Reps lose Senate Seat in any Trump+10 State and win in a Kamala State?

Polymarket traders put "Will Reps lose Senate Seat in any Trump+10 State and win in a Kamala State?" at 44.5%. $119 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Will Reps lose Senate Seat in any Trump+10 State and win in a Kamala State?
–45%
PoliticsVol $119Total volume $119Liquidity $464in 1 months (Nov 4)
Current probability

Sep 30 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Will Reps lose Senate Seat in any Trump+10 State and win in a Kamala State?
44.5%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.