Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 33.5% on "Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by...?". $45K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 31.

Most likely right now
December 31
34%
PoliticsVol $45KTotal volume $45KLiquidity $95KComments 4in 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
33.5%
October 31
27.0%
September 30
6.50%

Probability over time

December 31
October 31
September 30
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.