Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by...?

Most likely right now
December 31
0.580%
PoliticsVol $53Total volume $75KLiquidity $51KComments 2in 4 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
80.0%
0.5
September 30
29.5%
1.0

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.