Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?
Polymarket traders put "June 30, 2027" at 9.5% on "Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?". There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
June 30, 2027
–10%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $968KLiquidity $78KComments 14in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
June 30, 2027
9.50%
–
December 31
1.90%
–
Probability over time
June 30, 2027
December 31
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
