Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
Most likely right now
December 31
▲2.053%
PoliticsVol $18KTotal volume $1.4MLiquidity $104KComments 58in 4 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31
52.5%
▲2.0
October 31
18.5%
▼0.5
September 30
4.50%
▼2.0
August 31
1.40%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
