Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
Polymarket traders put "June 30, 2027" at 58.0% on "Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?". Down 9.5%p from yesterday. $4.7K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
June 30, 2027
▼9.558%
PoliticsVol $4.7KTotal volume $1.9MLiquidity $104KComments 61in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
June 30, 2027
58.0%
▼9.5
March 31, 2027
41.5%
▼7.5
December 31
15.0%
▼1.5
November 30
9.00%
▲0.5
October 31
2.50%
–
Probability over time
June 30, 2027
March 31, 2027
December 31
November 30
October 31
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
