Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?
Polymarket traders put "Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?" at 12.5%. Up 0.5%p from yesterday. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
December 31
▲0.513%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $2.3MLiquidity $703Comments 190in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31
12.5%
▲0.5
Probability over time
December 31
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
