Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?

Polymarket traders put "Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?" at 26.5%. Down 1.0%p from yesterday. $270 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31
▼1.027%
PoliticsVol $270Total volume $992KLiquidity $3.8KComments 144in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
26.5%
▼1.0

Probability over time

December 31
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.