Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by...?

Polymarket traders put "Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by...?" at 27.5%. Up 1.0%p from yesterday. $123 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31
▲1.028%
PoliticsVol $123Total volume $447KLiquidity $4.7KComments 8in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
27.5%
▲1.0

Probability over time

December 31
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.