Will Russia capture Mykolaivka by...?
Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 8.0% on "Will Russia capture Mykolaivka by...?". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
December 31
▼0.58%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $9.9KLiquidity $4.0Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31
8.00%
▼0.5
October 31
1.60%
▼0.5
Probability over time
December 31
October 31
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
