Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by...?

Polymarket traders put "Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by...?" at 19.5%. Up 0.5%p from yesterday. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31
▲0.520%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $97KLiquidity $534in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
19.5%
▲0.5

Probability over time

December 31
02550751009/2310/510/810/1010/11
2026-09-23 ~ 2026-10-11 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.