Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by...?

Polymarket traders put "March 31, 2027" at 34.0% on "Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by...?". Up 4.5%p from yesterday. $21 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
March 31, 2027
▲4.534%
PoliticsVol $21Total volume $253KLiquidity $8.0Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
March 31, 2027
34.0%
▲4.5
December 31
9.50%
–

Probability over time

March 31, 2027
December 31
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.