Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by...?
Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 82.5% on "Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by...?". Down 1.0%p from yesterday. $243 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
December 31
▼1.083%
PoliticsVol $243Total volume $166KLiquidity $26KComments 2in 4 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31
82.5%
▼1.0
September 30
32.0%
▲0.5
Probability over time
December 31
September 30
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
