Will Russia capture Serhiivka by...?
Polymarket traders put "Will Russia capture Serhiivka by...?" at 16.0%. Up 3.5%p from yesterday. $305 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
December 31
▲3.516%
PoliticsVol $305Total volume $77KLiquidity $2.4KComments 2in 4 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31
16.0%
▲3.5
Probability over time
December 31
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
