Will Russia capture Serhiivka by...?
Polymarket traders put "Will Russia capture Serhiivka by...?" at 10.0%. Down 0.5%p from yesterday. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
December 31
▼0.510%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $87KLiquidity $3.0KComments 2in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31
10.0%
▼0.5
Probability over time
December 31
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
