Will Russia capture Sloviansk by...?
Polymarket traders put "Will Russia capture Sloviansk by...?" at 4.5%. Up 0.5%p from yesterday. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
December 31
▲0.55%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $453KLiquidity $13Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31
4.55%
▲0.5
Probability over time
December 31
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
