Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by...?
Polymarket traders put "March 31, 2027" at 63.0% on "Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by...?". $214 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
March 31, 2027
–63%
PoliticsVol $214Total volume $68KLiquidity $52KComments 3in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 12 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
March 31, 2027
63.0%
–
December 31
34.5%
–
November 30
17.5%
–
October 31
9.00%
▲1.0
Probability over time
March 31, 2027
December 31
November 30
October 31
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-12 · y-axis %
