Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by...?
Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 82.5% on "Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by...?". $184 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
December 31
–83%
PoliticsVol $184Total volume $6.7KLiquidity $18KComments 1in 4 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31
82.5%
–
October 31
55.0%
▼0.5
September 30
17.5%
▼1.0
Probability over time
December 31
October 31
September 30
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
