Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by...?
Polymarket traders put "Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by...?" at 27.5%. Up 5.5%p from yesterday. $5 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Oct 1.
Most likely right now
September 30
▲5.528%
PoliticsVol $5Total volume $110KLiquidity $324in 1 months (Oct 1)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
September 30
27.5%
▲5.5
Probability over time
September 30
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
