Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by...?

Polymarket traders put "Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by...?" at 25.0%. $60 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31
–25%
PoliticsVol $60Total volume $115KLiquidity $432in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
25.0%
–

Probability over time

December 31
02550751009/239/279/3010/310/610/910/10
2026-09-23 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.