Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by...?
Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 94.5% on "Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by...?". Up 2.0%p from yesterday. $32K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
December 31
▲2.095%
PoliticsVol $32KTotal volume $137KLiquidity $107Kin 4 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31
94.5%
▲2.0
September 30
85.5%
▼1.0
Probability over time
December 31
September 30
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
