Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by...?
Polymarket traders put "October 31" at 99.3% on "Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by...?". Up 51.8%p from yesterday. $73K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
October 31
▲51.899%
PoliticsVol $73KTotal volume $419KLiquidity $62KComments 68in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 1 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
October 31
99.3%
▲51.8
December 31
99.2%
▲18.7
September 30
98.6%
▲85.8
Probability over time
October 31
December 31
September 30
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-01 · y-axis %
