Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka again by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 79.0% on "Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka again by...?". Down 6.5%p from yesterday. $2.4K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 31.

Most likely right now
December 31
▼6.579%
PoliticsVol $2.4KTotal volume $29KLiquidity $22Kin 3 months (Dec 31)
Current probability

Oct 18 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
79.0%
▼6.5
October 31
21.5%
▼13.0

Probability over time

December 31
October 31
02550751009/39/119/199/2710/510/1310/18
2026-09-03 ~ 2026-10-18 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.