Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?
Polymarket traders put "Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?" at 5.0%. Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $687 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Dec 31.
Most likely right now
December 31, 2026
▼0.55%
PoliticsVol $687Total volume $5.4MLiquidity $59KComments 63Closed (Dec 31)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31, 2026
5.00%
▼0.5
Probability over time
December 31, 2026
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
