Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Most likely right now
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
–6%
PoliticsVol $1.1KTotal volume $410KLiquidity $45KComments 12in 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
5.50%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
