Will Russia invade another country by...?
Polymarket traders put "December 31, 2027" at 15.5% on "Will Russia invade another country by...?". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $2.7K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
December 31, 2027
▼0.516%
PoliticsVol $2.7KTotal volume $603KLiquidity $144KComments 13in 1.2 years (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31, 2027
15.5%
▼0.5
December 31, 2026
6.00%
▼0.5
Probability over time
December 31, 2027
December 31, 2026
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
