Will Russia target Kyiv by...?

Polymarket traders put "September 17" at 94.5% on "Will Russia target Kyiv by...?". $399 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 17.

Most likely right now
September 17
95%
PoliticsVol $399Total volume $399Liquidity $9.3Kin 8 days (Sep 17)
Current probability

Sep 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
September 17
94.5%
September 13
72.0%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.