Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
Polymarket traders put "November 3" at 94.0% on "Will Russia target Kyiv on...?". $522 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 28 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 1.
Most likely right now
November 3
–94%
PoliticsVol $522Total volume $522Liquidity $11Kin 28 days (Dec 1)
Current probability
Nov 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
November 3
94.0%
–
November 16
89.0%
–
November 17
89.0%
–
November 18
89.0%
–
November 19
89.0%
–
November 21
89.0%
–
November 22
89.0%
–
November 4
88.5%
–
November 5
88.5%
–
November 6
88.5%
–
November 7
88.5%
–
November 8
88.5%
–
November 12
88.5%
–
November 13
88.5%
–
November 14
88.5%
–
November 15
88.5%
–
November 20
88.5%
–
November 24
70.5%
–
November 25
70.5%
–
November 26
70.5%
–
November 27
70.5%
–
November 28
70.5%
–
November 30
70.5%
–
November 23
70.0%
–
November 29
70.0%
–
November 10
53.0%
–
November 11
53.0%
–
November 9
52.5%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
