Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
Most likely right now
June 30, 2027
▲6.542%
PoliticsVol $1.2KTotal volume $3.5MLiquidity $158KComments 7in 10 months (Jul 1)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
June 30, 2027
42.0%
▲6.5
December 31
5.50%
–
September 30
1.45%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
