Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
Polymarket traders put "June 30, 2027" at 39.5% on "Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. $2.2K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jul 1.
Most likely right now
June 30, 2027
▲0.540%
PoliticsVol $2.2KTotal volume $4.3MLiquidity $89KComments 7in 9 months (Jul 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
June 30, 2027
39.5%
▲0.5
December 31
14.5%
▲0.5
Probability over time
June 30, 2027
December 31
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
