Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31?
Polymarket traders put "30+" at 2.5% on "Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31?". Down 4.5%p from yesterday. $8.3K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Aug 31.
Most likely right now
30+
▼4.52%
PoliticsVol $8.3KTotal volume $144KLiquidity $200Kin 5 days (Aug 31)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
30+
2.45%
▼4.5
50+
2.00%
▲0.8
40+
1.60%
▼0.9
60+
0.60%
–
80+
0.35%
–
100+
0.15%
–
Probability over time
30+
50+
40+
60+
80+
100+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
