Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31?
Polymarket traders put "10+" at 43.5% on "Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31?". Down 5.0%p from yesterday. $1.0K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 1.
Most likely right now
10+
▼5.044%
PoliticsVol $1.0KTotal volume $1.0KLiquidity $4.1Kin 1 months (Nov 1)
Current probability
Oct 2 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
10+
43.5%
▼5.0
20+
30.5%
▼18.0
30+
18.5%
▼30.0
40+
2.00%
▼46.5
50+
1.50%
▼47.0
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
