Will the 120th Congress Speaker be elected on the first ballot?
Polymarket traders put "Will the 120th Congress Speaker be elected on the first ballot?" at 78.5%. $4.1K traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 4.
Most likely right now
Will the 120th Congress Speaker be elected on the first ballot?
–79%
PoliticsVol $4.1KTotal volume $4.1KLiquidity $19Kin 2 months (Jan 4)
Current probability
Nov 5 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Will the 120th Congress Speaker be elected on the first ballot?
78.5%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
