Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

Polymarket traders put "Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?" at 31.5%. Up 3.0%p from yesterday. It resolves on Nov 8.

Most likely right now
Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?
▲3.032%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $4.8KLiquidity $26KComments 2in 2.1 years (Nov 8)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?
31.5%
▲3.0

Probability over time

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.