Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?
Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 26.5% on "Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?". There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
December 31
–27%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $18KLiquidity $23Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31
26.5%
–
October 31
5.50%
▲1.0
Probability over time
December 31
October 31
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
