Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?

Polymarket traders put "Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?" at 1.1%. Down 46.9%p from yesterday. $5.3K traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Nov 1.

Most likely right now
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?
▼46.91%
PoliticsVol $5.3KTotal volume $5.3KLiquidity $59Kin 1 months (Nov 1)
Current probability

Oct 2 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?
1.05%
▼46.9

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.