Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Polymarket traders put "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" at 1.4%. Unchanged from yesterday. $19K traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Sep 30.
Most likely right now
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
–1%
PoliticsVol $19KTotal volume $1.8MLiquidity $262Kin 1 months (Sep 30)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
1.35%
–
Probability over time
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
