Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?
Polymarket traders put "Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?" at 42.0%. Up 8.5%p from yesterday. $188 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
December 31
▲8.542%
PoliticsVol $188Total volume $5.7KLiquidity $331in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31
42.0%
▲8.5
Probability over time
December 31
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
