Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 46.0% on "Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?". There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31
46%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $2.6KLiquidity $9.9Kin 4 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
46.0%
September 30
9.50%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.