Will the US House pass a bill restricting military aid to Israel by September 30?

Polymarket traders put "Will the US House pass a bill restricting military aid to Israel by September 30?" at 7.0%. Up 1.0%p from yesterday. It resolves on Sep 30.

Most likely right now
Will the US House pass a bill restricting military aid to Israel by September 30?
1.07%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $2.0KLiquidity $9.7Kin 1 months (Sep 30)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Will the US House pass a bill restricting military aid to Israel by September 30?
7.00%
1.0

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.