Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket traders put "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?" at 16.5%. Up 1.0%p from yesterday. $319K traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
▲1.017%
PoliticsVol $319KTotal volume $72.9MLiquidity $782KComments 1in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
16.5%
▲1.0
Probability over time
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
