Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
Polymarket traders put "Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?" at 3.0%. Unchanged from yesterday. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
December 31
–3%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $14.2MLiquidity $81KComments 1,176in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31
3.05%
–
Probability over time
December 31
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
