Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
Most likely right now
December 31
–4%
PoliticsVol $166Total volume $14.2MLiquidity $57KComments 1,175Closed (Mar 31)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31
3.60%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
