Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

Polymarket traders put "Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?" at 70.5%. $3 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 20.

Most likely right now
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
–71%
PoliticsVol $3Total volume $106KLiquidity $44Kin 2.3 years (Jan 20)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
70.5%
–

Probability over time

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.