Will Trump pardon anyone by...?

Polymarket traders put "October 31" at 72.5% on "Will Trump pardon anyone by...?". Up 2.0%p from yesterday. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 1.

Most likely right now
October 31
2.073%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $12KLiquidity $633in 2 months (Nov 1)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
October 31
72.5%
2.0
September 30
44.5%
21.5
August 31
25.5%
0.5

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.