Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
Polymarket traders put "November 10" at 94.5% on "Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?". $2.5K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 28 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 1.
Most likely right now
November 10
–95%
PoliticsVol $2.5KTotal volume $2.4KLiquidity $21Kin 28 days (Dec 1)
Current probability
Nov 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
November 10
94.5%
–
November 9
92.5%
–
November 30
92.0%
–
November 7
91.5%
–
November 12
91.5%
–
November 16
91.5%
–
November 17
91.5%
–
November 23
91.5%
–
November 24
91.5%
–
November 25
91.5%
–
November 26
91.5%
–
November 27
91.5%
–
November 13
90.5%
–
November 14
90.5%
–
November 21
90.5%
–
November 20
89.5%
–
November 28
89.5%
–
November 11
87.5%
–
November 5
84.5%
–
November 8
84.5%
–
November 6
82.5%
–
November 15
82.5%
–
November 22
82.5%
–
November 18
80.0%
–
November 19
80.0%
–
November 3
78.5%
–
November 29
78.5%
–
November 4
76.5%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
